Energy expert Chris Yelland noted that while electricity consumption may appear to have declined, this could be attributed to self-generation rather than an actual drop in demand. He described overall consumption levels as relatively stable.
Beyond power generation, Yelland pointed to additional economic constraints, particularly within the logistics sector, which also impact growth.
While Eskom has made progress in maintaining electricity supply, the ageing infrastructure of its power plants presents growing challenges. Older facilities require more frequent maintenance, which becomes increasingly difficult over time.
Meanwhile, MK Member of Parliament Adil Nchabeleng has called on Minister of Electricity and Energy Kgosientso Ramokgopa to address the ongoing energy crisis by reopening the Komati Power Station.
The plant, which initially supplied 1,000MW to the grid, was decommissioned following a 2019 decision by then-Eskom CEO André de Ruyter. By 2022, its output had dropped to just 121MW, leading to its closure. Eskom later announced plans to repurpose the site for renewable energy, issuing a tender for the project late last year.
According to Yelland, some power plants have already exceeded their operational lifespan but remain in use due to persistent energy shortages. As a result, load-shedding will continue intermittently, though at a reduced intensity.
Looking at long-term solutions, he stressed the need to prioritise alternative energy sources. Nuclear power, even if development began immediately, would take at least 15 years to become viable.
Additionally, South Africa lacks a domestic natural gas supply, and Sasol has indicated it will stop supplying gas by the end of 2028 to focus on its own needs, complicating efforts to incorporate gas into the energy mix.
With limited short- to medium-term solutions available, Yelland believes South Africa’s energy stability depends on making strategic and decisive policy choices.
While he remains cautiously optimistic, he emphasised that success will require bold action, particularly in an environment where financial constraints and slow government decision-making pose significant obstacles.
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