Pakistan’s Trump ties face a test beyond the White House
ISLAMABAD — Pakistan’s relationship with Donald Trump faces a potential test in the US elections on 3 November: a change in control of Congress could give the president’s opponents greater influence over spending and investigations, even while he retains control of the administration. For Islamabad, access to the White House would then sit alongside a potentially more challenging political environment on Capitol Hill.
Pakistan has gained diplomatic visibility under Trump, although analysts interviewed by Al Jazeera question how much that attention has delivered. The distinction matters as Islamabad seeks to turn its international role into lasting benefits.
Iran diplomacy gives Pakistan a role
Pakistan’s importance to Washington extends beyond its relationship with the president. Its longstanding ties with neighbouring Iran have helped position it as an intermediary in efforts to end the conflict, giving both sides a channel through which to explore negotiations. Reuters previously reported that Pakistan’s courtship of Trump and its links with Tehran underpinned that diplomatic opening.
That work continued on 26 October, when senior officials from Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Turkey met Iranian officials in Tehran in a renewed peace effort. The meeting illustrates the immediate task facing Islamabad: keeping negotiations possible while regional tensions threaten further fighting.
Its influence nevertheless has limits. During Pakistani army chief Field Marshal Asim Munir’s visit earlier in October, Iran said negotiations with Washington depended on its demands being met. Those included ending the blockade of Iranian ports and lifting sanctions on oil exports, according to Reuters. Having access to both governments does not mean Pakistan can reconcile their positions.
Congress could change the pressure
A Democratic victory in either chamber could bring stronger scrutiny of Trump’s administration. Congress also controls federal funding, giving lawmakers a means to challenge presidential priorities. Chatham House’s assessment identifies government spending and investigations, including into the Iran war, as areas where a change of majority could matter.
For Pakistan, the implication is greater uncertainty over the political conditions surrounding its diplomacy, rather than an automatic reversal of relations. Trump would retain broad executive powers and his presidential veto even if Democrats won both chambers.
The election will therefore shape the constraints under which Washington operates. Islamabad’s next test will be whether its diplomatic access continues to produce cooperation when the balance of power in Congress becomes clear.
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